In this research, I explore law school faculty perceptions and predictions of the highly publicized Masterpiece Cakeshop case. I created a survey to assess how law faculty members’ prediction of the case may be affected by their area of instruction, background in business, religious involvement, political affiliation, same-sex union celebration participation, exposure to the case, and personal desired outcome for the case. I contacted over 800 law school faculty members, inviting them to participate in the research. The ninety-three completed responses provide insight into how law school faculty demographics may be indicators of their Supreme Court case predictions. Furthermore, different survey links were utilized in order to stratify results based on the additional variable of law school tier. One interesting result was the ability of law faculty to provide a prediction that was opposed to their personal desired outcome.
Michael Conklin, The Icing on the Cake: How Background Factors Affect Law Faculty Predictions in Masterpiece Cakeshop, 9 ConLawNOW 227 (2018).